Traders see the 31–33°C range as most likely for Panama City’s maximum temperature on August 27, reflecting current official forecasts of 29–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover that will limit peak solar heating. A strengthening El Niño, with sea-surface anomalies exceeding +2°C in the eastern Pacific and a nationwide emergency declared on August 26, is suppressing rainfall while sustaining above-average warmth, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty. Model consensus points to modest instability and light northwest winds that could allow brief clearing and push readings a degree or two higher, or trigger earlier showers that cap the maximum near 31°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the proximity of resolution tomorrow keep the leading outcomes tightly bunched until the next model run or observational update clarifies convective timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
32°C 33%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
33%
33°C
28%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$315 Vol.
4%
31°C
$304 Vol.
16%
32°C
$26 Vol.
33%
33°C
$33 Vol.
28%
34°C
$102 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$556 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 31–33°C range as most likely for Panama City’s maximum temperature on August 27, reflecting current official forecasts of 29–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover that will limit peak solar heating. A strengthening El Niño, with sea-surface anomalies exceeding +2°C in the eastern Pacific and a nationwide emergency declared on August 26, is suppressing rainfall while sustaining above-average warmth, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty. Model consensus points to modest instability and light northwest winds that could allow brief clearing and push readings a degree or two higher, or trigger earlier showers that cap the maximum near 31°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the proximity of resolution tomorrow keep the leading outcomes tightly bunched until the next model run or observational update clarifies convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,346End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 31–33°C range as most likely for Panama City’s maximum temperature on August 27, reflecting current official forecasts of 29–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover that will limit peak solar heating. A strengthening El Niño, with sea-surface anomalies exceeding +2°C in the eastern Pacific and a nationwide emergency declared on August 26, is suppressing rainfall while sustaining above-average warmth, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty. Model consensus points to modest instability and light northwest winds that could allow brief clearing and push readings a degree or two higher, or trigger earlier showers that cap the maximum near 31°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the proximity of resolution tomorrow keep the leading outcomes tightly bunched until the next model run or observational update clarifies convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,346End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 31–33°C range as most likely for Panama City’s maximum temperature on August 27, reflecting current official forecasts of 29–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover that will limit peak solar heating. A strengthening El Niño, with sea-surface anomalies exceeding +2°C in the eastern Pacific and a nationwide emergency declared on August 26, is suppressing rainfall while sustaining above-average warmth, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty. Model consensus points to modest instability and light northwest winds that could allow brief clearing and push readings a degree or two higher, or trigger earlier showers that cap the maximum near 31°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the proximity of resolution tomorrow keep the leading outcomes tightly bunched until the next model run or observational update clarifies convective timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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