Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models point to a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 28, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds off the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 30–32°C highs and recent observations showing maxima around 30–31°C amid scattered drizzle and high humidity near 65–75%. Model consensus shows little intensification potential before resolution, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (44.5%) to 32°C and substantial support (27.5%) to 31°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable, non-extreme conditions rather than outlier heat. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
32°C 44%
31°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 44%
31°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$75 Vol.
1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
6%
30°C
$6 Vol.
9%
31°C
$45 Vol.
27%
32°C
$59 Vol.
44%
33°C
$15 Vol.
14%
34°C
$20 Vol.
6%
35°C
$32 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models point to a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 28, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds off the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 30–32°C highs and recent observations showing maxima around 30–31°C amid scattered drizzle and high humidity near 65–75%. Model consensus shows little intensification potential before resolution, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (44.5%) to 32°C and substantial support (27.5%) to 31°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable, non-extreme conditions rather than outlier heat. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$428End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models point to a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 28, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds off the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 30–32°C highs and recent observations showing maxima around 30–31°C amid scattered drizzle and high humidity near 65–75%. Model consensus shows little intensification potential before resolution, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (44.5%) to 32°C and substantial support (27.5%) to 31°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable, non-extreme conditions rather than outlier heat. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$428End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models point to a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 28, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds off the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 30–32°C highs and recent observations showing maxima around 30–31°C amid scattered drizzle and high humidity near 65–75%. Model consensus shows little intensification potential before resolution, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (44.5%) to 32°C and substantial support (27.5%) to 31°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable, non-extreme conditions rather than outlier heat. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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