Weather models from China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a strengthening subtropical high over the Yangtze River basin, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that favor a peak temperature near 37°C in Wuhan on August 28. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 32–34°C, yet recent heat episodes and urban heat-island effects have routinely pushed readings 2–4°C higher. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from possible late-day convection, keeping 36°C and 38°C as viable alternatives. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will further shape trader assessments of these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
37°C 44%
36°C 29%
38°C 19%
35°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
9%
36°C
29%
37°C
44%
38°C
19%
39°C
6%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 44%
36°C 29%
38°C 19%
35°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
31°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C
$16 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$13 Vol.
29%
37°C
$22 Vol.
44%
38°C
$17 Vol.
19%
39°C
$25 Vol.
6%
40°C
$55 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a strengthening subtropical high over the Yangtze River basin, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that favor a peak temperature near 37°C in Wuhan on August 28. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 32–34°C, yet recent heat episodes and urban heat-island effects have routinely pushed readings 2–4°C higher. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from possible late-day convection, keeping 36°C and 38°C as viable alternatives. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will further shape trader assessments of these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$179End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a strengthening subtropical high over the Yangtze River basin, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that favor a peak temperature near 37°C in Wuhan on August 28. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 32–34°C, yet recent heat episodes and urban heat-island effects have routinely pushed readings 2–4°C higher. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from possible late-day convection, keeping 36°C and 38°C as viable alternatives. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will further shape trader assessments of these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$179End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models from China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a strengthening subtropical high over the Yangtze River basin, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that favor a peak temperature near 37°C in Wuhan on August 28. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima of 32–34°C, yet recent heat episodes and urban heat-island effects have routinely pushed readings 2–4°C higher. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from possible late-day convection, keeping 36°C and 38°C as viable alternatives. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will further shape trader assessments of these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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