**Official meteorological forecasts and real-time observational data from Chinese weather services indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 24–26°C.** Multiple model runs and station readings align on this threshold amid ongoing summer heat, consistent with historical late-August climatology for the region. Strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this alignment and the market's focus on verified minimums rather than broader trends. A shift could occur from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, localized rainfall, or stronger northerly winds associated with distant typhoon influences accelerating cooling below 26°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviations before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
27°C 100.0%
24°C 12%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$6,075 Vol.
$6,075 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
24°C 12%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$6,075 Vol.
$6,075 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$732 Vol.
No
23°C
$82 Vol.
No
24°C
$104 Vol.
No
25°C
$991 Vol.
No
26°C
$170 Vol.
No
27°C
$160 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$271 Vol.
No
29°C
$165 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,712 Vol.
No
31°C
$184 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,505 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological forecasts and real-time observational data from Chinese weather services indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 24–26°C.** Multiple model runs and station readings align on this threshold amid ongoing summer heat, consistent with historical late-August climatology for the region. Strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this alignment and the market's focus on verified minimums rather than broader trends. A shift could occur from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, localized rainfall, or stronger northerly winds associated with distant typhoon influences accelerating cooling below 26°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,075End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological forecasts and real-time observational data from Chinese weather services indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 24–26°C.** Multiple model runs and station readings align on this threshold amid ongoing summer heat, consistent with historical late-August climatology for the region. Strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this alignment and the market's focus on verified minimums rather than broader trends. A shift could occur from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, localized rainfall, or stronger northerly winds associated with distant typhoon influences accelerating cooling below 26°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,075End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official meteorological forecasts and real-time observational data from Chinese weather services indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 24–26°C.** Multiple model runs and station readings align on this threshold amid ongoing summer heat, consistent with historical late-August climatology for the region. Strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this alignment and the market's focus on verified minimums rather than broader trends. A shift could occur from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, localized rainfall, or stronger northerly winds associated with distant typhoon influences accelerating cooling below 26°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviations before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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