Strong consensus around 27°C as Chongqing's daily high on August 29 stems from official forecasts by the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and international models showing a pronounced cooling effect from widespread rainfall and embedded cold air advection. Persistent mid-level moisture and northeasterly flow have triggered moderate to heavy rain across western and central districts, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the 26–31°C range, with many stations expected to peak near 27–29°C. This contrasts sharply with the preceding days' 37–40°C readings under clearer, hotter conditions. Traders see little room for deviation because resolution relies on verified official maximum observations, and any late-day clearing would still struggle to overcome the established cool air mass. Only an unexpectedly rapid dissipation of clouds combined with stronger insolation could push isolated readings above 30°C, but current model agreement and ongoing precipitation make that outcome improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 29?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$51,728 Vol.
$51,728 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$51,728 Vol.
$51,728 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong consensus around 27°C as Chongqing's daily high on August 29 stems from official forecasts by the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and international models showing a pronounced cooling effect from widespread rainfall and embedded cold air advection. Persistent mid-level moisture and northeasterly flow have triggered moderate to heavy rain across western and central districts, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the 26–31°C range, with many stations expected to peak near 27–29°C. This contrasts sharply with the preceding days' 37–40°C readings under clearer, hotter conditions. Traders see little room for deviation because resolution relies on verified official maximum observations, and any late-day clearing would still struggle to overcome the established cool air mass. Only an unexpectedly rapid dissipation of clouds combined with stronger insolation could push isolated readings above 30°C, but current model agreement and ongoing precipitation make that outcome improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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