Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on August 31, supported by persistent high pressure and moderate onshore flow. Marine-layer depth and timing remain the dominant variables: a deeper layer or stronger sea breeze would enhance advection of cooler Pacific air and increase low-cloud cover, lowering minimum temperatures through reduced longwave radiation loss. Clearer skies and lighter winds would instead favor greater radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island effect buffers extremes. With only 48 hours until resolution and model spread still evident in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts, trader consensus remains closely divided between warmer and cooler outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
74°F or higher 97%
55°F or below 96%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
96%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74°F or higher
97%
74°F or higher 97%
55°F or below 96%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
96%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
38%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on August 31, supported by persistent high pressure and moderate onshore flow. Marine-layer depth and timing remain the dominant variables: a deeper layer or stronger sea breeze would enhance advection of cooler Pacific air and increase low-cloud cover, lowering minimum temperatures through reduced longwave radiation loss. Clearer skies and lighter winds would instead favor greater radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island effect buffers extremes. With only 48 hours until resolution and model spread still evident in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts, trader consensus remains closely divided between warmer and cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on August 31, supported by persistent high pressure and moderate onshore flow. Marine-layer depth and timing remain the dominant variables: a deeper layer or stronger sea breeze would enhance advection of cooler Pacific air and increase low-cloud cover, lowering minimum temperatures through reduced longwave radiation loss. Clearer skies and lighter winds would instead favor greater radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island effect buffers extremes. With only 48 hours until resolution and model spread still evident in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts, trader consensus remains closely divided between warmer and cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on August 31, supported by persistent high pressure and moderate onshore flow. Marine-layer depth and timing remain the dominant variables: a deeper layer or stronger sea breeze would enhance advection of cooler Pacific air and increase low-cloud cover, lowering minimum temperatures through reduced longwave radiation loss. Clearer skies and lighter winds would instead favor greater radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island effect buffers extremes. With only 48 hours until resolution and model spread still evident in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts, trader consensus remains closely divided between warmer and cooler outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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