Latest meteorological guidance for Panama City, Panama, shows daytime maxima centered near 31°C on August 31 amid persistent tropical moisture and typical afternoon convective storms. These storms, driven by diurnal heating and sea-breeze convergence, frequently develop by midday and limit insolation, keeping observed highs close to or slightly below ensemble means. Climatological normals for late August place average highs at 30–31°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus, yet subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud decks create the narrow spread among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, plus any shifts in low-level wind or precipitable water, will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 31?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 31?
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C or higher
12%
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$6 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C
$11 Vol.
18%
33°C or higher
$32 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance for Panama City, Panama, shows daytime maxima centered near 31°C on August 31 amid persistent tropical moisture and typical afternoon convective storms. These storms, driven by diurnal heating and sea-breeze convergence, frequently develop by midday and limit insolation, keeping observed highs close to or slightly below ensemble means. Climatological normals for late August place average highs at 30–31°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus, yet subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud decks create the narrow spread among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, plus any shifts in low-level wind or precipitable water, will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance for Panama City, Panama, shows daytime maxima centered near 31°C on August 31 amid persistent tropical moisture and typical afternoon convective storms. These storms, driven by diurnal heating and sea-breeze convergence, frequently develop by midday and limit insolation, keeping observed highs close to or slightly below ensemble means. Climatological normals for late August place average highs at 30–31°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus, yet subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud decks create the narrow spread among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, plus any shifts in low-level wind or precipitable water, will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological guidance for Panama City, Panama, shows daytime maxima centered near 31°C on August 31 amid persistent tropical moisture and typical afternoon convective storms. These storms, driven by diurnal heating and sea-breeze convergence, frequently develop by midday and limit insolation, keeping observed highs close to or slightly below ensemble means. Climatological normals for late August place average highs at 30–31°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus, yet subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud decks create the narrow spread among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, plus any shifts in low-level wind or precipitable water, will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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