Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 29 most likely in the 23–25°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. A cooler air mass advecting from the west, combined with clearing skies after overnight rain and moderate westerly winds, limits daytime heating below seasonal norms. The long-term average high for the date is 22.8°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow that could push values higher. Model consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor shifts in timing of cloud cover could adjust the precise peak by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 29?
25°C 46%
24°C 33%
26°C 12%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
33%
25°C
46%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 33%
26°C 12%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$57 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$63 Vol.
1%
22°C
$218 Vol.
3%
23°C
$495 Vol.
7%
24°C
$320 Vol.
33%
25°C
$1,161 Vol.
46%
26°C
$240 Vol.
12%
27°C
$262 Vol.
2%
28°C
$210 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 29 most likely in the 23–25°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. A cooler air mass advecting from the west, combined with clearing skies after overnight rain and moderate westerly winds, limits daytime heating below seasonal norms. The long-term average high for the date is 22.8°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow that could push values higher. Model consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor shifts in timing of cloud cover could adjust the precise peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,297End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 29 most likely in the 23–25°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. A cooler air mass advecting from the west, combined with clearing skies after overnight rain and moderate westerly winds, limits daytime heating below seasonal norms. The long-term average high for the date is 22.8°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow that could push values higher. Model consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor shifts in timing of cloud cover could adjust the precise peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,297End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 29 most likely in the 23–25°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. A cooler air mass advecting from the west, combined with clearing skies after overnight rain and moderate westerly winds, limits daytime heating below seasonal norms. The long-term average high for the date is 22.8°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow that could push values higher. Model consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor shifts in timing of cloud cover could adjust the precise peak by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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