Recent atmospheric cooling following thunderstorms on August 28 has positioned Munich under a moderating air mass, with official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles centering overnight lows near 15–16°C amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Radiational cooling under clearer intervals could push minima toward 13–14°C if dew points drop and winds remain calm, while persistent cloud cover or residual moisture would favor 15°C or higher. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any showers introduces the tight clustering around these thresholds, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach 12.7°C but recent warmth has elevated baselines. Updated runs overnight will refine the final minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
13°C 32%
14°C 31%
15°C 26%
16°C 25%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
24%
12°C
11%
13°C
32%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
1%
13°C 32%
14°C 31%
15°C 26%
16°C 25%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
24%
12°C
11%
13°C
32%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric cooling following thunderstorms on August 28 has positioned Munich under a moderating air mass, with official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles centering overnight lows near 15–16°C amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. Radiational cooling under clearer intervals could push minima toward 13–14°C if dew points drop and winds remain calm, while persistent cloud cover or residual moisture would favor 15°C or higher. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any showers introduces the tight clustering around these thresholds, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach 12.7°C but recent warmth has elevated baselines. Updated runs overnight will refine the final minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions