**Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on August 28, 2026, center on a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, consistently project highs in the 30–33°C range, with rain probabilities of 40–90% and accumulations of 1–5 mm. Easterly to southeasterly flow and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer days earlier in the week. Shanghai’s late-August subtropical climate features average highs near 31°C; the current setup reflects typical monsoon influences with moisture limiting insolation. This explains the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C (53.5%) and 32°C (23.5%), while lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect forecast uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the National Meteorological Center or global ensembles, will provide the clearest near-term refinements ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
31°C 54%
32°C 22%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
54%
32°C
22%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 54%
32°C 22%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$124 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$420 Vol.
1%
29°C
$442 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,044 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,272 Vol.
54%
32°C
$221 Vol.
22%
33°C
$112 Vol.
7%
34°C
$84 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on August 28, 2026, center on a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, consistently project highs in the 30–33°C range, with rain probabilities of 40–90% and accumulations of 1–5 mm. Easterly to southeasterly flow and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer days earlier in the week.
Shanghai’s late-August subtropical climate features average highs near 31°C; the current setup reflects typical monsoon influences with moisture limiting insolation. This explains the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C (53.5%) and 32°C (23.5%), while lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect forecast uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the National Meteorological Center or global ensembles, will provide the clearest near-term refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,996End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on August 28, 2026, center on a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, consistently project highs in the 30–33°C range, with rain probabilities of 40–90% and accumulations of 1–5 mm. Easterly to southeasterly flow and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer days earlier in the week.
Shanghai’s late-August subtropical climate features average highs near 31°C; the current setup reflects typical monsoon influences with moisture limiting insolation. This explains the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C (53.5%) and 32°C (23.5%), while lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect forecast uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the National Meteorological Center or global ensembles, will provide the clearest near-term refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,996End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on August 28, 2026, center on a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, consistently project highs in the 30–33°C range, with rain probabilities of 40–90% and accumulations of 1–5 mm. Easterly to southeasterly flow and increased cloud cover are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer days earlier in the week. Shanghai’s late-August subtropical climate features average highs near 31°C; the current setup reflects typical monsoon influences with moisture limiting insolation. This explains the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C (53.5%) and 32°C (23.5%), while lower odds on 30°C or 33°C+ reflect forecast uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the National Meteorological Center or global ensembles, will provide the clearest near-term refinements ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions