Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 27, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 25–50% chance of light showers that may limit peak heating. This aligns with late-August climatology in the Yangtze River Delta, where subtropical conditions typically yield highs near 31°C but can reach 33°C under clearer skies. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 59.5% reflects model agreement on modest cooling from moisture and wind, while the lower odds on 33°C or 31°C capture remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity ahead of official daily reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$13,363 Vol.
$13,363 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$13,363 Vol.
$13,363 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 27, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 25–50% chance of light showers that may limit peak heating. This aligns with late-August climatology in the Yangtze River Delta, where subtropical conditions typically yield highs near 31°C but can reach 33°C under clearer skies. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 59.5% reflects model agreement on modest cooling from moisture and wind, while the lower odds on 33°C or 31°C capture remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity ahead of official daily reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions