Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and regional meteorological services points to a high of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on 28 August, driven by a strengthening northerly flow and increased cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This marks a notable drop from the 29–30 °C readings observed earlier in the week under clearer, warmer conditions. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 26 °C or falling below 23 °C given the timing of the frontal passage and typical late-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
24°C 53%
23°C 29%
25°C 27%
26°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
8%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
5%
24°C 53%
23°C 29%
25°C 27%
26°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$25 Vol.
8%
20°C
$4 Vol.
3%
21°C
$5 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24°C
$31 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$5 Vol.
7%
28°C
$8 Vol.
5%
29°C or higher
$4 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and regional meteorological services points to a high of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on 28 August, driven by a strengthening northerly flow and increased cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This marks a notable drop from the 29–30 °C readings observed earlier in the week under clearer, warmer conditions. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 26 °C or falling below 23 °C given the timing of the frontal passage and typical late-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$82End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and regional meteorological services points to a high of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on 28 August, driven by a strengthening northerly flow and increased cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This marks a notable drop from the 29–30 °C readings observed earlier in the week under clearer, warmer conditions. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 26 °C or falling below 23 °C given the timing of the frontal passage and typical late-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and regional meteorological services points to a high of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on 28 August, driven by a strengthening northerly flow and increased cloud cover ahead of scattered showers. This marks a notable drop from the 29–30 °C readings observed earlier in the week under clearer, warmer conditions. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 26 °C or falling below 23 °C given the timing of the frontal passage and typical late-August climatology for the region. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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