Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and stable subtropical high pressure favoring daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August maxima reach 31°C amid high humidity but limited precipitation or thick cloud cover on this date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 32°C and 17.5% for 33°C, appears driven by the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the potential for minor cooling from variable cloud cover or slight wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$503 Vol.
3%
30°C
$509 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3,248 Vol.
26%
32°C
$488 Vol.
50%
33°C
$433 Vol.
18%
34°C
$952 Vol.
5%
35°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and stable subtropical high pressure favoring daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August maxima reach 31°C amid high humidity but limited precipitation or thick cloud cover on this date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 32°C and 17.5% for 33°C, appears driven by the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the potential for minor cooling from variable cloud cover or slight wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,619End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and stable subtropical high pressure favoring daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August maxima reach 31°C amid high humidity but limited precipitation or thick cloud cover on this date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 32°C and 17.5% for 33°C, appears driven by the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the potential for minor cooling from variable cloud cover or slight wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,619End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and stable subtropical high pressure favoring daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August maxima reach 31°C amid high humidity but limited precipitation or thick cloud cover on this date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 32°C and 17.5% for 33°C, appears driven by the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the potential for minor cooling from variable cloud cover or slight wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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