Forecast models from sources including SMN-aligned services and international ensembles show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 26 likely reaching 10–14 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air under high pressure. Recent cold outbreaks earlier in August (lows near 5 °C) have given way to this moderation, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increasing cloud cover and dew points rising toward 8–10 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact wind speeds (stronger flow reduces cooling) and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture, though consensus keeps probabilities for sub-8 °C readings low. Updated runs and official minimum reports will clarify resolution near local midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
14°C or higher 49%
13°C 35%
4°C or below 33%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
4°C or below
33%
5°C
13%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
35%
14°C or higher
49%
14°C or higher 49%
13°C 35%
4°C or below 33%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
4°C or below
$5 Vol.
33%
5°C
$5 Vol.
13%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$5 Vol.
35%
14°C or higher
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including SMN-aligned services and international ensembles show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 26 likely reaching 10–14 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air under high pressure. Recent cold outbreaks earlier in August (lows near 5 °C) have given way to this moderation, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increasing cloud cover and dew points rising toward 8–10 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact wind speeds (stronger flow reduces cooling) and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture, though consensus keeps probabilities for sub-8 °C readings low. Updated runs and official minimum reports will clarify resolution near local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including SMN-aligned services and international ensembles show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 26 likely reaching 10–14 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air under high pressure. Recent cold outbreaks earlier in August (lows near 5 °C) have given way to this moderation, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increasing cloud cover and dew points rising toward 8–10 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact wind speeds (stronger flow reduces cooling) and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture, though consensus keeps probabilities for sub-8 °C readings low. Updated runs and official minimum reports will clarify resolution near local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including SMN-aligned services and international ensembles show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 26 likely reaching 10–14 °C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air under high pressure. Recent cold outbreaks earlier in August (lows near 5 °C) have given way to this moderation, with overnight radiative cooling limited by increasing cloud cover and dew points rising toward 8–10 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact wind speeds (stronger flow reduces cooling) and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture, though consensus keeps probabilities for sub-8 °C readings low. Updated runs and official minimum reports will clarify resolution near local midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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