Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 28–35°C for Taipei on August 28 amid cloudy conditions with brief showers, while other models range from 31–34°C depending on convective timing. Trader consensus clustering near 35–36°C reflects uncertainty over whether reduced cloud cover and stronger solar heating under southwest monsoon flow will allow peaks near or above 36°C, versus showers suppressing maxima closer to 34°C. High humidity and urban heat retention in the basin amplify sensitivity to insolation and wind patterns, with historical late-August averages near 32°C providing context for the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 28th will likely refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
36°C 35%
35°C 32%
37°C 15%
34°C 15%
29°C or below
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 35%
35°C 32%
37°C 15%
34°C 15%
29°C or below
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 28–35°C for Taipei on August 28 amid cloudy conditions with brief showers, while other models range from 31–34°C depending on convective timing. Trader consensus clustering near 35–36°C reflects uncertainty over whether reduced cloud cover and stronger solar heating under southwest monsoon flow will allow peaks near or above 36°C, versus showers suppressing maxima closer to 34°C. High humidity and urban heat retention in the basin amplify sensitivity to insolation and wind patterns, with historical late-August averages near 32°C providing context for the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 28th will likely refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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