Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily highs of 31–33°C in late August, with recent National Environment Agency outlooks highlighting drier conditions that favor reduced cloud cover and modest warming. Current model consensus and agency guidance point to a maximum near 32°C on the 26th, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 31–33°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Recent regional dryness has sustained above-normal temperatures without triggering heatwave thresholds, and any afternoon convection or haze intrusion remains the main variable that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. Updated forecasts from official monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
32°C 48%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
48%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
48%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily highs of 31–33°C in late August, with recent National Environment Agency outlooks highlighting drier conditions that favor reduced cloud cover and modest warming. Current model consensus and agency guidance point to a maximum near 32°C on the 26th, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 31–33°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Recent regional dryness has sustained above-normal temperatures without triggering heatwave thresholds, and any afternoon convection or haze intrusion remains the main variable that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. Updated forecasts from official monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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