Forecast consensus from regional models supports a Singapore minimum temperature of 26–28°C on August 26, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 75 percent, and potential afternoon thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above the 25.3°C August climatological average. Recent observations show minimums frequently exceeding 27°C amid below-average rainfall and warm nights. Traders appear to weigh model spreads in shower timing and localized urban heat effects, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside 24–30°C given the narrow historical and forecast range. Official Changi station readings will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
30°C 45%
28°C 34%
27°C 28%
29°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
18%
25°C
12%
26°C
25%
27°C
28%
28°C
34%
29°C
25%
30°C
45%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 45%
28°C 34%
27°C 28%
29°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
23°C
$15 Vol.
8%
24°C
$2 Vol.
18%
25°C
$2 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$145 Vol.
45%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models supports a Singapore minimum temperature of 26–28°C on August 26, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 75 percent, and potential afternoon thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above the 25.3°C August climatological average. Recent observations show minimums frequently exceeding 27°C amid below-average rainfall and warm nights. Traders appear to weigh model spreads in shower timing and localized urban heat effects, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside 24–30°C given the narrow historical and forecast range. Official Changi station readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$460End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models supports a Singapore minimum temperature of 26–28°C on August 26, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 75 percent, and potential afternoon thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above the 25.3°C August climatological average. Recent observations show minimums frequently exceeding 27°C amid below-average rainfall and warm nights. Traders appear to weigh model spreads in shower timing and localized urban heat effects, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside 24–30°C given the narrow historical and forecast range. Official Changi station readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$460End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models supports a Singapore minimum temperature of 26–28°C on August 26, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity above 75 percent, and potential afternoon thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above the 25.3°C August climatological average. Recent observations show minimums frequently exceeding 27°C amid below-average rainfall and warm nights. Traders appear to weigh model spreads in shower timing and localized urban heat effects, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside 24–30°C given the narrow historical and forecast range. Official Changi station readings will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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