Official forecasts from KNMI and ensemble models indicate a maximum near 22–23°C in Amsterdam on August 28 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms. Southwesterly flow advects cooler maritime air after Thursday’s warmer conditions, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation sharply limit insolation and daytime heating. This late-summer pattern features moderate instability and a frontal boundary that caps temperatures well below recent peaks. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 22°C and 23°C because minor model differences in convective timing or brief clearing before heavier rain can shift the daily peak by 1°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
23°C 41%
22°C 34%
24°C 13%
21°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
34%
23°C
41%
24°C
13%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 41%
22°C 34%
24°C 13%
21°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
34%
23°C
41%
24°C
13%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from KNMI and ensemble models indicate a maximum near 22–23°C in Amsterdam on August 28 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms. Southwesterly flow advects cooler maritime air after Thursday’s warmer conditions, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation sharply limit insolation and daytime heating. This late-summer pattern features moderate instability and a frontal boundary that caps temperatures well below recent peaks. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 22°C and 23°C because minor model differences in convective timing or brief clearing before heavier rain can shift the daily peak by 1°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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