Recent forecasts from DWD-influenced and ECMWF-based models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30 °C for Munich on August 27, driven by building high pressure that promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup follows a cooler, showery period earlier in the week and aligns with late-August climatology for the region. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10 %) and dew points in the mid-teens further support efficient surface heating without significant evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 30 °C and 31 °C leading probabilities mirrors this model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact maximum timing and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the daily high by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 27?
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$118 Vol.
37%
31°C
$465 Vol.
25%
32°C
$189 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from DWD-influenced and ECMWF-based models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30 °C for Munich on August 27, driven by building high pressure that promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup follows a cooler, showery period earlier in the week and aligns with late-August climatology for the region. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10 %) and dew points in the mid-teens further support efficient surface heating without significant evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 30 °C and 31 °C leading probabilities mirrors this model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact maximum timing and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the daily high by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$782End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from DWD-influenced and ECMWF-based models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30 °C for Munich on August 27, driven by building high pressure that promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup follows a cooler, showery period earlier in the week and aligns with late-August climatology for the region. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10 %) and dew points in the mid-teens further support efficient surface heating without significant evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 30 °C and 31 °C leading probabilities mirrors this model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact maximum timing and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the daily high by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$782End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from DWD-influenced and ECMWF-based models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30 °C for Munich on August 27, driven by building high pressure that promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup follows a cooler, showery period earlier in the week and aligns with late-August climatology for the region. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10 %) and dew points in the mid-teens further support efficient surface heating without significant evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 30 °C and 31 °C leading probabilities mirrors this model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact maximum timing and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the daily high by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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