Recent forecast runs from major models including ECMWF, ICON, and GFS indicate Munich overnight minima near 15–16°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow. Radiative cooling will dominate once daytime heating ends, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting further drops and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.9°C but align with current high-pressure stability across central Europe. Traders appear focused on small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of minimum readings rather than larger synoptic shifts, as no significant changes in the 500 hPa pattern are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
15%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
10%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
11°C
$123 Vol.
14%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$5 Vol.
16%
19°C
$5 Vol.
15%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from major models including ECMWF, ICON, and GFS indicate Munich overnight minima near 15–16°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow. Radiative cooling will dominate once daytime heating ends, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting further drops and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.9°C but align with current high-pressure stability across central Europe. Traders appear focused on small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of minimum readings rather than larger synoptic shifts, as no significant changes in the 500 hPa pattern are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$143End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from major models including ECMWF, ICON, and GFS indicate Munich overnight minima near 15–16°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow. Radiative cooling will dominate once daytime heating ends, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting further drops and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.9°C but align with current high-pressure stability across central Europe. Traders appear focused on small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of minimum readings rather than larger synoptic shifts, as no significant changes in the 500 hPa pattern are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from major models including ECMWF, ICON, and GFS indicate Munich overnight minima near 15–16°C on August 27 under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow. Radiative cooling will dominate once daytime heating ends, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting further drops and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.9°C but align with current high-pressure stability across central Europe. Traders appear focused on small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of minimum readings rather than larger synoptic shifts, as no significant changes in the 500 hPa pattern are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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