Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, position 31–33°C as the most probable range for Ankara’s daily maximum on August 25, reflecting modest cooling from recent 35°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow across the elevated Anatolian plateau. Clear to mostly sunny skies with low humidity and minimal precipitation risk support this clustering, consistent with late-August climatology. Trader-implied odds, led by 31°C at 51.5%, mirror the tight model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C. Official observations from the Turkish meteorological network will resolve the market within hours of the daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 52%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
52%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$109 Vol.
1%
28°C
$58 Vol.
1%
29°C
$112 Vol.
5%
30°C
$188 Vol.
20%
31°C
$472 Vol.
52%
32°C
$185 Vol.
22%
33°C
$132 Vol.
5%
34°C
$58 Vol.
1%
35°C
$23 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, position 31–33°C as the most probable range for Ankara’s daily maximum on August 25, reflecting modest cooling from recent 35°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow across the elevated Anatolian plateau. Clear to mostly sunny skies with low humidity and minimal precipitation risk support this clustering, consistent with late-August climatology. Trader-implied odds, led by 31°C at 51.5%, mirror the tight model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C. Official observations from the Turkish meteorological network will resolve the market within hours of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,670End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, position 31–33°C as the most probable range for Ankara’s daily maximum on August 25, reflecting modest cooling from recent 35°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow across the elevated Anatolian plateau. Clear to mostly sunny skies with low humidity and minimal precipitation risk support this clustering, consistent with late-August climatology. Trader-implied odds, led by 31°C at 51.5%, mirror the tight model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C. Official observations from the Turkish meteorological network will resolve the market within hours of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,670End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, position 31–33°C as the most probable range for Ankara’s daily maximum on August 25, reflecting modest cooling from recent 35°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow across the elevated Anatolian plateau. Clear to mostly sunny skies with low humidity and minimal precipitation risk support this clustering, consistent with late-August climatology. Trader-implied odds, led by 31°C at 51.5%, mirror the tight model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C. Official observations from the Turkish meteorological network will resolve the market within hours of the daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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