**Forecast models for Ankara on August 25 project overnight lows near 17–19 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds at the city’s ~890 m elevation.** Clear, dry conditions favor strong nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs of 31–34 °C, with the minimum typically occurring just before sunrise. Hourly guidance shows temperatures falling to ~18 °C by 04–06 local time before rebounding. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression (~10–13 °C), or minor cloud intrusions could easily shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, keeping probability mass spread across the 16–22 °C bins. No significant synoptic change is expected before the 25th, so the tight clustering around 18 °C reflects both the baseline forecast and the inherent resolution uncertainty of a single-night minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
25°C or higher 88%
22°C 51%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
12%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C
51%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
88%
25°C or higher 88%
22°C 51%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$4 Vol.
12%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$5 Vol.
20%
22°C
$5 Vol.
51%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Ankara on August 25 project overnight lows near 17–19 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds at the city’s ~890 m elevation.** Clear, dry conditions favor strong nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs of 31–34 °C, with the minimum typically occurring just before sunrise. Hourly guidance shows temperatures falling to ~18 °C by 04–06 local time before rebounding. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression (~10–13 °C), or minor cloud intrusions could easily shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, keeping probability mass spread across the 16–22 °C bins. No significant synoptic change is expected before the 25th, so the tight clustering around 18 °C reflects both the baseline forecast and the inherent resolution uncertainty of a single-night minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$29End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Ankara on August 25 project overnight lows near 17–19 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds at the city’s ~890 m elevation.** Clear, dry conditions favor strong nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs of 31–34 °C, with the minimum typically occurring just before sunrise. Hourly guidance shows temperatures falling to ~18 °C by 04–06 local time before rebounding. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression (~10–13 °C), or minor cloud intrusions could easily shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, keeping probability mass spread across the 16–22 °C bins. No significant synoptic change is expected before the 25th, so the tight clustering around 18 °C reflects both the baseline forecast and the inherent resolution uncertainty of a single-night minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Ankara on August 25 project overnight lows near 17–19 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds at the city’s ~890 m elevation.** Clear, dry conditions favor strong nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs of 31–34 °C, with the minimum typically occurring just before sunrise. Hourly guidance shows temperatures falling to ~18 °C by 04–06 local time before rebounding. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression (~10–13 °C), or minor cloud intrusions could easily shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, keeping probability mass spread across the 16–22 °C bins. No significant synoptic change is expected before the 25th, so the tight clustering around 18 °C reflects both the baseline forecast and the inherent resolution uncertainty of a single-night minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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