Current ensemble forecasts from global models position the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 23 near or slightly below the seasonal average of 15–17°C, driven by expected clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling over the city’s elevated terrain. Recent model runs show a modest cooling signal compared with mid-month heat, with consensus lows clustering around 16–18°C amid low precipitation chances. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as small shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind patterns could push minima higher or allow brief drops below 15°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ECMWF/GFS guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
15°C or below 46%
17°C 20%
18°C 19%
21°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
46%
16°C
8%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
7%
20°C
7%
21°C
19%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
15°C or below 46%
17°C 20%
18°C 19%
21°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$20 Vol.
19%
22°C
$37 Vol.
1%
23°C
$37 Vol.
1%
24°C
$27 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models position the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 23 near or slightly below the seasonal average of 15–17°C, driven by expected clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling over the city’s elevated terrain. Recent model runs show a modest cooling signal compared with mid-month heat, with consensus lows clustering around 16–18°C amid low precipitation chances. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as small shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind patterns could push minima higher or allow brief drops below 15°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ECMWF/GFS guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$148End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models position the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 23 near or slightly below the seasonal average of 15–17°C, driven by expected clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling over the city’s elevated terrain. Recent model runs show a modest cooling signal compared with mid-month heat, with consensus lows clustering around 16–18°C amid low precipitation chances. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as small shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind patterns could push minima higher or allow brief drops below 15°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ECMWF/GFS guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$148End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models position the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 23 near or slightly below the seasonal average of 15–17°C, driven by expected clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling over the city’s elevated terrain. Recent model runs show a modest cooling signal compared with mid-month heat, with consensus lows clustering around 16–18°C amid low precipitation chances. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as small shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind patterns could push minima higher or allow brief drops below 15°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ECMWF/GFS guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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