Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 27–29°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by expected cloud cover, thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation that limit daytime heating compared to the warmer, partly clear conditions of prior days. Regional moisture from the East Asian monsoon pattern supports scattered precipitation, which several runs show arriving midday and suppressing peak temperatures below recent 32–34°C readings. Ensemble spread remains modest but centers on this range, with minor variations tied to exact timing of convection and boundary-layer mixing. Official updates from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these inputs ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
27°C 17%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
17%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
13%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
27°C 17%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
17%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
13%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 27–29°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by expected cloud cover, thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation that limit daytime heating compared to the warmer, partly clear conditions of prior days. Regional moisture from the East Asian monsoon pattern supports scattered precipitation, which several runs show arriving midday and suppressing peak temperatures below recent 32–34°C readings. Ensemble spread remains modest but centers on this range, with minor variations tied to exact timing of convection and boundary-layer mixing. Official updates from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these inputs ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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