Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high of 29–30°C for Milan on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after Friday’s showers. This positions 30°C (44% implied probability) and 29°C (32.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime heating in the Po Valley during late August. Clearing high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and typical seasonal humidity levels around 50–60% support temperatures near the upper end of historical norms without extreme heat advection. Updated guidance through August 28 shows minor downward revisions from earlier 31–32°C projections, tightening trader expectations around the 29–30°C range ahead of final observational data from Milan stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$65 Vol.
3%
28°C
$379 Vol.
7%
29°C
$630 Vol.
32%
30°C
$351 Vol.
44%
31°C
$756 Vol.
16%
32°C
$90 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high of 29–30°C for Milan on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after Friday’s showers. This positions 30°C (44% implied probability) and 29°C (32.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime heating in the Po Valley during late August. Clearing high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and typical seasonal humidity levels around 50–60% support temperatures near the upper end of historical norms without extreme heat advection. Updated guidance through August 28 shows minor downward revisions from earlier 31–32°C projections, tightening trader expectations around the 29–30°C range ahead of final observational data from Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,394End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high of 29–30°C for Milan on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after Friday’s showers. This positions 30°C (44% implied probability) and 29°C (32.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime heating in the Po Valley during late August. Clearing high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and typical seasonal humidity levels around 50–60% support temperatures near the upper end of historical norms without extreme heat advection. Updated guidance through August 28 shows minor downward revisions from earlier 31–32°C projections, tightening trader expectations around the 29–30°C range ahead of final observational data from Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,394End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high of 29–30°C for Milan on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after Friday’s showers. This positions 30°C (44% implied probability) and 29°C (32.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime heating in the Po Valley during late August. Clearing high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and typical seasonal humidity levels around 50–60% support temperatures near the upper end of historical norms without extreme heat advection. Updated guidance through August 28 shows minor downward revisions from earlier 31–32°C projections, tightening trader expectations around the 29–30°C range ahead of final observational data from Milan stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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