Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 27°C in Wuhan on August 30, driven by a rain event tied to typhoon peripheral flow that increases cloud cover, boosts humidity, and delivers northerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima stay elevated around 32–34°C. Recent ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 25–26°C under heavier precipitation and others near 28°C if skies clear earlier, aligning with the market's emphasis on 27°C alongside elevated odds for 22°C or below. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports minima typically 25–28°C absent strong frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
27°C 64%
32°C or higher 48%
22°C or below 43%
28°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
43%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
64%
28°C
43%
29°C
43%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
48%
27°C 64%
32°C or higher 48%
22°C or below 43%
28°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$106 Vol.
43%
23°C
$14 Vol.
22%
24°C
$6 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$35 Vol.
64%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C
$0 Vol.
43%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 27°C in Wuhan on August 30, driven by a rain event tied to typhoon peripheral flow that increases cloud cover, boosts humidity, and delivers northerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima stay elevated around 32–34°C. Recent ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 25–26°C under heavier precipitation and others near 28°C if skies clear earlier, aligning with the market's emphasis on 27°C alongside elevated odds for 22°C or below. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports minima typically 25–28°C absent strong frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 27°C in Wuhan on August 30, driven by a rain event tied to typhoon peripheral flow that increases cloud cover, boosts humidity, and delivers northerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima stay elevated around 32–34°C. Recent ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 25–26°C under heavier precipitation and others near 28°C if skies clear earlier, aligning with the market's emphasis on 27°C alongside elevated odds for 22°C or below. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports minima typically 25–28°C absent strong frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 27°C in Wuhan on August 30, driven by a rain event tied to typhoon peripheral flow that increases cloud cover, boosts humidity, and delivers northerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima stay elevated around 32–34°C. Recent ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 25–26°C under heavier precipitation and others near 28°C if skies clear earlier, aligning with the market's emphasis on 27°C alongside elevated odds for 22°C or below. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports minima typically 25–28°C absent strong frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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