Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 23°C in Wuhan on August 29 under partly cloudy conditions, moderate northerly winds, and limited nocturnal cooling from residual summer heat and humidity. Observational trends through midday show highs near 30–32°C with dew points supporting minimal temperature drop, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24–26°C. Trader consensus at 98% for 23°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of resolution data from official stations. A sustained increase in cloud cover or earlier precipitation could push readings lower, while clearer skies or stronger downslope flow might hold the minimum above 24°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
23°C 98.0%
22°C or below 2.5%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 98.0%
22°C or below 2.5%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 23°C in Wuhan on August 29 under partly cloudy conditions, moderate northerly winds, and limited nocturnal cooling from residual summer heat and humidity. Observational trends through midday show highs near 30–32°C with dew points supporting minimal temperature drop, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24–26°C. Trader consensus at 98% for 23°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of resolution data from official stations. A sustained increase in cloud cover or earlier precipitation could push readings lower, while clearer skies or stronger downslope flow might hold the minimum above 24°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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