Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Miami on August 29 project a daily high in the lower 90s under typical late-summer conditions, with east-southeast winds near 5–10 mph, high humidity, and afternoon showers or thunderstorms likely after midday. These factors position 90–91°F as the modal outcome by limiting peak heating through cloud cover and convective cooling while remaining above climatological norms around 90°F. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with secondary weight on 92–93°F if storms develop later or remain isolated, and 88–89°F if earlier or more widespread convection suppresses temperatures. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings ahead of the diurnal heating cycle will refine these near-term probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 29?
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 20%
86-87°F 4.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 20%
86-87°F 4.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
77°F or below
$160 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$160 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$170 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$90 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$66 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$57 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$305 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$394 Vol.
51%
92-93°F
$613 Vol.
23%
94-95°F
$131 Vol.
3%
96°F or higher
$7 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Miami on August 29 project a daily high in the lower 90s under typical late-summer conditions, with east-southeast winds near 5–10 mph, high humidity, and afternoon showers or thunderstorms likely after midday. These factors position 90–91°F as the modal outcome by limiting peak heating through cloud cover and convective cooling while remaining above climatological norms around 90°F. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with secondary weight on 92–93°F if storms develop later or remain isolated, and 88–89°F if earlier or more widespread convection suppresses temperatures. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings ahead of the diurnal heating cycle will refine these near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,152End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Miami on August 29 project a daily high in the lower 90s under typical late-summer conditions, with east-southeast winds near 5–10 mph, high humidity, and afternoon showers or thunderstorms likely after midday. These factors position 90–91°F as the modal outcome by limiting peak heating through cloud cover and convective cooling while remaining above climatological norms around 90°F. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with secondary weight on 92–93°F if storms develop later or remain isolated, and 88–89°F if earlier or more widespread convection suppresses temperatures. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings ahead of the diurnal heating cycle will refine these near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,152End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Miami on August 29 project a daily high in the lower 90s under typical late-summer conditions, with east-southeast winds near 5–10 mph, high humidity, and afternoon showers or thunderstorms likely after midday. These factors position 90–91°F as the modal outcome by limiting peak heating through cloud cover and convective cooling while remaining above climatological norms around 90°F. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with secondary weight on 92–93°F if storms develop later or remain isolated, and 88–89°F if earlier or more widespread convection suppresses temperatures. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings ahead of the diurnal heating cycle will refine these near-term probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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