Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight a sharp cooldown driven by northerly cold air and persistent easterly flow, triggering heavy rainfall from August 28 night into August 29–30. Official guidance projects mid-western district highs of 27–31°C on the 30th, with eastern and southern zones potentially reaching 33–36°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26–28°C outcomes. Numerical models show broad agreement on post-frontal stabilization after widespread precipitation, though minor differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the observed spread across 26–32°C bins. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide context for how this synoptic disruption has shifted trader consensus toward cooler resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and the next official briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
26°C or below 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
30%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
10%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$201 Vol.
30%
27°C
$64 Vol.
18%
28°C
$137 Vol.
19%
29°C
$77 Vol.
14%
30°C
$20 Vol.
10%
31°C
$20 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$12 Vol.
3%
34°C
$102 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$745 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight a sharp cooldown driven by northerly cold air and persistent easterly flow, triggering heavy rainfall from August 28 night into August 29–30. Official guidance projects mid-western district highs of 27–31°C on the 30th, with eastern and southern zones potentially reaching 33–36°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26–28°C outcomes. Numerical models show broad agreement on post-frontal stabilization after widespread precipitation, though minor differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the observed spread across 26–32°C bins. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide context for how this synoptic disruption has shifted trader consensus toward cooler resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and the next official briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,133End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight a sharp cooldown driven by northerly cold air and persistent easterly flow, triggering heavy rainfall from August 28 night into August 29–30. Official guidance projects mid-western district highs of 27–31°C on the 30th, with eastern and southern zones potentially reaching 33–36°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26–28°C outcomes. Numerical models show broad agreement on post-frontal stabilization after widespread precipitation, though minor differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the observed spread across 26–32°C bins. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide context for how this synoptic disruption has shifted trader consensus toward cooler resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and the next official briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,133End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight a sharp cooldown driven by northerly cold air and persistent easterly flow, triggering heavy rainfall from August 28 night into August 29–30. Official guidance projects mid-western district highs of 27–31°C on the 30th, with eastern and southern zones potentially reaching 33–36°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26–28°C outcomes. Numerical models show broad agreement on post-frontal stabilization after widespread precipitation, though minor differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the observed spread across 26–32°C bins. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide context for how this synoptic disruption has shifted trader consensus toward cooler resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and the next official briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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