Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow supporting daytime radiative heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic setup follows cooler, showery conditions on the 29th and aligns with late-summer patterns where warmer air advection from the south can push maxima several degrees above the monthly average near 21–22°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds with modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
20%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$7 Vol.
28%
27°C
$52 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$8 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow supporting daytime radiative heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic setup follows cooler, showery conditions on the 29th and aligns with late-summer patterns where warmer air advection from the south can push maxima several degrees above the monthly average near 21–22°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds with modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$147End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow supporting daytime radiative heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic setup follows cooler, showery conditions on the 29th and aligns with late-summer patterns where warmer air advection from the south can push maxima several degrees above the monthly average near 21–22°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds with modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$147End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow supporting daytime radiative heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic setup follows cooler, showery conditions on the 29th and aligns with late-summer patterns where warmer air advection from the south can push maxima several degrees above the monthly average near 21–22°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds with modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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