Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office project a high of 42°C for Jeddah on August 30 under clear, sunny conditions with light northwest winds, driving the 64% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. This aligns with observed highs of 37–44°C earlier in August 2026 and exceeds the long-term late-August average near 36–37°C. Persistent high pressure, low precipitation chances under 5%, and regional heat patterns support peak readings in the upper 30s to low 40s Celsius, while lower outcomes remain possible if models trend cooler overnight. Official station data will determine resolution amid typical model uncertainty in maximum temperature timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 30?
40°C or higher 64%
39°C 19%
38°C 9%
37°C 5%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C
9%
39°C
19%
40°C or higher
64%
40°C or higher 64%
39°C 19%
38°C 9%
37°C 5%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C
9%
39°C
19%
40°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office project a high of 42°C for Jeddah on August 30 under clear, sunny conditions with light northwest winds, driving the 64% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. This aligns with observed highs of 37–44°C earlier in August 2026 and exceeds the long-term late-August average near 36–37°C. Persistent high pressure, low precipitation chances under 5%, and regional heat patterns support peak readings in the upper 30s to low 40s Celsius, while lower outcomes remain possible if models trend cooler overnight. Official station data will determine resolution amid typical model uncertainty in maximum temperature timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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