Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project a high near 95°F under sunny conditions with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and southerly flow. This supports the near-even split between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins, as modest variations in timing of any convective clouds or sea-breeze effects could shift the daily maximum by 1-2°F. Historical climatology shows an average high of 92°F for the date, with extremes rarely exceeding 100°F absent strong subsidence. Low-level moisture and heat indices near 107°F add little downward pressure on the peak reading absent widespread cloud cover. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 30?
94-95°F 43%
96-97°F 41%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 6%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 43%
96-97°F 41%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 6%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project a high near 95°F under sunny conditions with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and southerly flow. This supports the near-even split between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins, as modest variations in timing of any convective clouds or sea-breeze effects could shift the daily maximum by 1-2°F. Historical climatology shows an average high of 92°F for the date, with extremes rarely exceeding 100°F absent strong subsidence. Low-level moisture and heat indices near 107°F add little downward pressure on the peak reading absent widespread cloud cover. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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