**Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance positions Busan’s August 29 high near 29–32 °C, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers.** Persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid air from the East China Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity expected during peak heating hours, limits surface insolation and caps afternoon temperatures. Coastal sea-breeze effects further moderate the urban heat island, while residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon maintains high dew points near 25–26 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows average highs of ~30–31 °C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability (43 %) to 32 °C and secondary weight (20–20 %) to 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance issued within the past 24–48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening market-implied odds around these central outcomes ahead of the final forecast cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 29?
32°C 43%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
43%
33°C
22%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$20 Vol.
21%
32°C
$68 Vol.
43%
33°C
$59 Vol.
22%
34°C
$87 Vol.
9%
35°C
$5 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$72 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance positions Busan’s August 29 high near 29–32 °C, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers.** Persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid air from the East China Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity expected during peak heating hours, limits surface insolation and caps afternoon temperatures. Coastal sea-breeze effects further moderate the urban heat island, while residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon maintains high dew points near 25–26 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows average highs of ~30–31 °C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability (43 %) to 32 °C and secondary weight (20–20 %) to 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance issued within the past 24–48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening market-implied odds around these central outcomes ahead of the final forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$647End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance positions Busan’s August 29 high near 29–32 °C, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers.** Persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid air from the East China Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity expected during peak heating hours, limits surface insolation and caps afternoon temperatures. Coastal sea-breeze effects further moderate the urban heat island, while residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon maintains high dew points near 25–26 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows average highs of ~30–31 °C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability (43 %) to 32 °C and secondary weight (20–20 %) to 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance issued within the past 24–48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening market-implied odds around these central outcomes ahead of the final forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$647End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance positions Busan’s August 29 high near 29–32 °C, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers.** Persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid air from the East China Sea, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity expected during peak heating hours, limits surface insolation and caps afternoon temperatures. Coastal sea-breeze effects further moderate the urban heat island, while residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon maintains high dew points near 25–26 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows average highs of ~30–31 °C, providing context for why traders assign the strongest implied probability (43 %) to 32 °C and secondary weight (20–20 %) to 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance issued within the past 24–48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening market-implied odds around these central outcomes ahead of the final forecast cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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