Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 27, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. This reflects typical late-winter conditions for the region, where northwesterly flows and variable cloud cover can produce modest daytime warming while occasional showers or clearer skies limit or enhance solar heating. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes temperatures are about equally likely to finish near or above average, adding modest upside risk for 15°C if ridging strengthens. Model consensus remains tight on the narrow 13–14°C range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passages and wind shifts over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 47%
13°C 41%
15°C 8%
12°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
41%
14°C
47%
15°C
8%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 41%
15°C 8%
12°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$317 Vol.
1%
11°C
$52 Vol.
1%
12°C
$67 Vol.
7%
13°C
$231 Vol.
41%
14°C
$1,184 Vol.
47%
15°C
$587 Vol.
8%
16°C
$9 Vol.
3%
17°C
$98 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 27, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. This reflects typical late-winter conditions for the region, where northwesterly flows and variable cloud cover can produce modest daytime warming while occasional showers or clearer skies limit or enhance solar heating. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes temperatures are about equally likely to finish near or above average, adding modest upside risk for 15°C if ridging strengthens. Model consensus remains tight on the narrow 13–14°C range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passages and wind shifts over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,263End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 27, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. This reflects typical late-winter conditions for the region, where northwesterly flows and variable cloud cover can produce modest daytime warming while occasional showers or clearer skies limit or enhance solar heating. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes temperatures are about equally likely to finish near or above average, adding modest upside risk for 15°C if ridging strengthens. Model consensus remains tight on the narrow 13–14°C range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passages and wind shifts over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,263End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 27, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. This reflects typical late-winter conditions for the region, where northwesterly flows and variable cloud cover can produce modest daytime warming while occasional showers or clearer skies limit or enhance solar heating. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes temperatures are about equally likely to finish near or above average, adding modest upside risk for 15°C if ridging strengthens. Model consensus remains tight on the narrow 13–14°C range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passages and wind shifts over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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