**Forecast models and observational trends position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on August 29.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate afternoon peaks near 34–37°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions, with surface heating supported by light winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–75%. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima reach about 33°C, but reduced precipitation on the 29th allows greater insolation compared to recent stormy days. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 35–36°C, creating the highest implied probabilities for those exact thresholds while leaving room for minor upward revisions if skies clear further or downward adjustments if convective clouds develop earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the consensus of recent model updates and local meteorological guidance, which show limited day-to-day volatility this close to the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
36°C 41%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
17%
36°C
41%
37°C
27%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
31°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$115 Vol.
1%
33°C
$270 Vol.
2%
34°C
$451 Vol.
5%
35°C
$697 Vol.
17%
36°C
$339 Vol.
41%
37°C
$564 Vol.
27%
38°C
$643 Vol.
13%
39°C
$673 Vol.
2%
40°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on August 29.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate afternoon peaks near 34–37°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions, with surface heating supported by light winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–75%.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima reach about 33°C, but reduced precipitation on the 29th allows greater insolation compared to recent stormy days. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 35–36°C, creating the highest implied probabilities for those exact thresholds while leaving room for minor upward revisions if skies clear further or downward adjustments if convective clouds develop earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the consensus of recent model updates and local meteorological guidance, which show limited day-to-day volatility this close to the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,055End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational trends position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on August 29.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate afternoon peaks near 34–37°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions, with surface heating supported by light winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–75%.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima reach about 33°C, but reduced precipitation on the 29th allows greater insolation compared to recent stormy days. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 35–36°C, creating the highest implied probabilities for those exact thresholds while leaving room for minor upward revisions if skies clear further or downward adjustments if convective clouds develop earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the consensus of recent model updates and local meteorological guidance, which show limited day-to-day volatility this close to the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,055End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational trends position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on August 29.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate afternoon peaks near 34–37°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions, with surface heating supported by light winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–75%. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima reach about 33°C, but reduced precipitation on the 29th allows greater insolation compared to recent stormy days. Official and ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 35–36°C, creating the highest implied probabilities for those exact thresholds while leaving room for minor upward revisions if skies clear further or downward adjustments if convective clouds develop earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the consensus of recent model updates and local meteorological guidance, which show limited day-to-day volatility this close to the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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