Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles keeps the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30 near the long-term average high of 21.1°C, with most runs showing 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating and support the tight market split between 21°C and 22°C. Slight variations in shower timing or cloud breaks could still tip the daily maximum either way, while historical precedent and current pressure patterns make outcomes above 23°C or below 20°C far less probable. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely clarify the final range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
22°C 47%
21°C 41%
23°C 10%
20°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
41%
22°C
47%
23°C
10%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 47%
21°C 41%
23°C 10%
20°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$66 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3 Vol.
1%
19°C
$4 Vol.
3%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C
$38 Vol.
41%
22°C
$184 Vol.
47%
23°C
$45 Vol.
10%
24°C
$19 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles keeps the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30 near the long-term average high of 21.1°C, with most runs showing 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating and support the tight market split between 21°C and 22°C. Slight variations in shower timing or cloud breaks could still tip the daily maximum either way, while historical precedent and current pressure patterns make outcomes above 23°C or below 20°C far less probable. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely clarify the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$390End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles keeps the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30 near the long-term average high of 21.1°C, with most runs showing 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating and support the tight market split between 21°C and 22°C. Slight variations in shower timing or cloud breaks could still tip the daily maximum either way, while historical precedent and current pressure patterns make outcomes above 23°C or below 20°C far less probable. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely clarify the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$390End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles keeps the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30 near the long-term average high of 21.1°C, with most runs showing 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating and support the tight market split between 21°C and 22°C. Slight variations in shower timing or cloud breaks could still tip the daily maximum either way, while historical precedent and current pressure patterns make outcomes above 23°C or below 20°C far less probable. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely clarify the final range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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