Forecasts from major models center the August 28 high in Paris near 22–23 °C under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with a post-heatwave cool-down. Equal 50 % market-implied odds across bins reflect uncertainty in the precise peak: afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and localized wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C either side of the consensus. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly cooler values. Updated runs ahead of the 28th will clarify whether the maximum settles closer to 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
16°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
100%
16°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
100%
18°C
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
100%
20°C
$0 Vol.
100%
21°C
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
100%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models center the August 28 high in Paris near 22–23 °C under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with a post-heatwave cool-down. Equal 50 % market-implied odds across bins reflect uncertainty in the precise peak: afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and localized wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C either side of the consensus. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly cooler values. Updated runs ahead of the 28th will clarify whether the maximum settles closer to 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models center the August 28 high in Paris near 22–23 °C under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with a post-heatwave cool-down. Equal 50 % market-implied odds across bins reflect uncertainty in the precise peak: afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and localized wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C either side of the consensus. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly cooler values. Updated runs ahead of the 28th will clarify whether the maximum settles closer to 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major models center the August 28 high in Paris near 22–23 °C under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with a post-heatwave cool-down. Equal 50 % market-implied odds across bins reflect uncertainty in the precise peak: afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and localized wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C either side of the consensus. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly cooler values. Updated runs ahead of the 28th will clarify whether the maximum settles closer to 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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