Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 25 project a high near 98–100°F under persistent high pressure, with southwest winds limiting mixing and only a slight chance of afternoon clouds. This aligns with the market-implied 51.5% probability on 98–99°F and 37% on 96–97°F, as recent model runs and observations from the prior day’s 100°F peak suggest limited additional warming before any seabreeze influence. Heat index values near 106–109°F reflect elevated humidity, but air temperature resolution hinges on precise peak timing and station-specific readings amid ongoing heat advisory conditions. Updated guidance later today could refine these odds if steering patterns or cloud cover shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 9%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 9%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$679 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$239 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$334 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$1,262 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$1,037 Vol.
53%
100-101°F
$545 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$251 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$411 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 25 project a high near 98–100°F under persistent high pressure, with southwest winds limiting mixing and only a slight chance of afternoon clouds. This aligns with the market-implied 51.5% probability on 98–99°F and 37% on 96–97°F, as recent model runs and observations from the prior day’s 100°F peak suggest limited additional warming before any seabreeze influence. Heat index values near 106–109°F reflect elevated humidity, but air temperature resolution hinges on precise peak timing and station-specific readings amid ongoing heat advisory conditions. Updated guidance later today could refine these odds if steering patterns or cloud cover shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$5,750End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 25 project a high near 98–100°F under persistent high pressure, with southwest winds limiting mixing and only a slight chance of afternoon clouds. This aligns with the market-implied 51.5% probability on 98–99°F and 37% on 96–97°F, as recent model runs and observations from the prior day’s 100°F peak suggest limited additional warming before any seabreeze influence. Heat index values near 106–109°F reflect elevated humidity, but air temperature resolution hinges on precise peak timing and station-specific readings amid ongoing heat advisory conditions. Updated guidance later today could refine these odds if steering patterns or cloud cover shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,750End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 25 project a high near 98–100°F under persistent high pressure, with southwest winds limiting mixing and only a slight chance of afternoon clouds. This aligns with the market-implied 51.5% probability on 98–99°F and 37% on 96–97°F, as recent model runs and observations from the prior day’s 100°F peak suggest limited additional warming before any seabreeze influence. Heat index values near 106–109°F reflect elevated humidity, but air temperature resolution hinges on precise peak timing and station-specific readings amid ongoing heat advisory conditions. Updated guidance later today could refine these odds if steering patterns or cloud cover shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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