Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across the Houston region are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 showing a minimum around 80–82°F amid heat indices above 105°F. Strong humidity and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 76–83°F range because model guidance shows only minor variations in timing and urban heat-island effects, with historical August lows averaging 76–77°F but recent days running several degrees above normal. Upcoming evening observations from Houston Hobby and Intercontinental airports will determine the precise minimum and resolve the closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 25?
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
7%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
$10 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$79 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$34 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$39 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
4%
90°F or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across the Houston region are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 showing a minimum around 80–82°F amid heat indices above 105°F. Strong humidity and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 76–83°F range because model guidance shows only minor variations in timing and urban heat-island effects, with historical August lows averaging 76–77°F but recent days running several degrees above normal. Upcoming evening observations from Houston Hobby and Intercontinental airports will determine the precise minimum and resolve the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$323End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across the Houston region are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 showing a minimum around 80–82°F amid heat indices above 105°F. Strong humidity and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 76–83°F range because model guidance shows only minor variations in timing and urban heat-island effects, with historical August lows averaging 76–77°F but recent days running several degrees above normal. Upcoming evening observations from Houston Hobby and Intercontinental airports will determine the precise minimum and resolve the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$323End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across the Houston region are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 showing a minimum around 80–82°F amid heat indices above 105°F. Strong humidity and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 76–83°F range because model guidance shows only minor variations in timing and urban heat-island effects, with historical August lows averaging 76–77°F but recent days running several degrees above normal. Upcoming evening observations from Houston Hobby and Intercontinental airports will determine the precise minimum and resolve the closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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