Latest forecast models converge on a daytime high of 28–30 °C for Paris on 26 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with the majority centering near 29 °C. This consensus, drawn from sources including Météo-France equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles, reflects typical late-summer conditions without an established heat dome or strong cold front. Southerly advection of milder maritime air, modest insolation under variable cloud cover, and dew points in the low teens Celsius support peak readings in this narrow band while limiting upside to the low 30s. Recent model runs show little shift over the past 24–48 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around the 29 °C bin at 42.5 % implied probability, followed by 30 °C and 28 °C. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
29°C 43%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
21%
29°C
43%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$183 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$120 Vol.
1%
26°C
$467 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,723 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,795 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,553 Vol.
43%
30°C
$839 Vol.
24%
31°C
$25 Vol.
8%
32°C
$131 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$3 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models converge on a daytime high of 28–30 °C for Paris on 26 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with the majority centering near 29 °C. This consensus, drawn from sources including Météo-France equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles, reflects typical late-summer conditions without an established heat dome or strong cold front. Southerly advection of milder maritime air, modest insolation under variable cloud cover, and dew points in the low teens Celsius support peak readings in this narrow band while limiting upside to the low 30s. Recent model runs show little shift over the past 24–48 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around the 29 °C bin at 42.5 % implied probability, followed by 30 °C and 28 °C. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,005End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models converge on a daytime high of 28–30 °C for Paris on 26 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with the majority centering near 29 °C. This consensus, drawn from sources including Météo-France equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles, reflects typical late-summer conditions without an established heat dome or strong cold front. Southerly advection of milder maritime air, modest insolation under variable cloud cover, and dew points in the low teens Celsius support peak readings in this narrow band while limiting upside to the low 30s. Recent model runs show little shift over the past 24–48 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around the 29 °C bin at 42.5 % implied probability, followed by 30 °C and 28 °C. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,005End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models converge on a daytime high of 28–30 °C for Paris on 26 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with the majority centering near 29 °C. This consensus, drawn from sources including Météo-France equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles, reflects typical late-summer conditions without an established heat dome or strong cold front. Southerly advection of milder maritime air, modest insolation under variable cloud cover, and dew points in the low teens Celsius support peak readings in this narrow band while limiting upside to the low 30s. Recent model runs show little shift over the past 24–48 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around the 29 °C bin at 42.5 % implied probability, followed by 30 °C and 28 °C. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions