Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 30 will most likely reach 31–32°C amid lingering summer heat, high humidity, and weak steering patterns favoring warm-air advection from the southwest. Thunderstorm activity, with 50–60% probability, could temper afternoon maxima through cloud cover or localized cooling, while coastal effects and urban heat islands add minor variability. Historical August averages near 27–28°C highlight the current positive anomaly, yet model spread remains modest given the short lead time. Trader consensus at 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33%) reflects this narrow uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 30?
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
36%
32°C
33%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
2%
29°C
$249 Vol.
4%
30°C
$6 Vol.
14%
31°C
$312 Vol.
36%
32°C
$113 Vol.
33%
33°C
$330 Vol.
13%
34°C
$13 Vol.
4%
35°C
$13 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 30 will most likely reach 31–32°C amid lingering summer heat, high humidity, and weak steering patterns favoring warm-air advection from the southwest. Thunderstorm activity, with 50–60% probability, could temper afternoon maxima through cloud cover or localized cooling, while coastal effects and urban heat islands add minor variability. Historical August averages near 27–28°C highlight the current positive anomaly, yet model spread remains modest given the short lead time. Trader consensus at 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33%) reflects this narrow uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,475End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 30 will most likely reach 31–32°C amid lingering summer heat, high humidity, and weak steering patterns favoring warm-air advection from the southwest. Thunderstorm activity, with 50–60% probability, could temper afternoon maxima through cloud cover or localized cooling, while coastal effects and urban heat islands add minor variability. Historical August averages near 27–28°C highlight the current positive anomaly, yet model spread remains modest given the short lead time. Trader consensus at 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33%) reflects this narrow uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,475End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 30 will most likely reach 31–32°C amid lingering summer heat, high humidity, and weak steering patterns favoring warm-air advection from the southwest. Thunderstorm activity, with 50–60% probability, could temper afternoon maxima through cloud cover or localized cooling, while coastal effects and urban heat islands add minor variability. Historical August averages near 27–28°C highlight the current positive anomaly, yet model spread remains modest given the short lead time. Trader consensus at 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33%) reflects this narrow uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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