**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high around 84–86°F at coastal Los Angeles stations such as LAX on August 28, 2026, amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** Strong high pressure aloft has driven extreme heat warnings and temperatures 15–20°F above average inland, yet persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are limiting warming near the coast. This dynamic keeps peak readings in the mid-80s range at representative stations, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F outcome (47.5% implied probability) and nearby 86–87°F bucket. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with slight variations in marine-layer depth and afternoon wind strength as the primary uncertainties that could nudge the exact high within the favored range. Historical August coastal highs average near 77°F, so the current setup reflects the tail end of a multi-day warm anomaly before broader cooling arrives over the weekend. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance that emphasize coastal moderation over inland extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 18%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 18%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
79°F or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$253 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$1,431 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$1,053 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$419 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$39 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$92 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$188 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$308 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high around 84–86°F at coastal Los Angeles stations such as LAX on August 28, 2026, amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** Strong high pressure aloft has driven extreme heat warnings and temperatures 15–20°F above average inland, yet persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are limiting warming near the coast. This dynamic keeps peak readings in the mid-80s range at representative stations, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F outcome (47.5% implied probability) and nearby 86–87°F bucket.
Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with slight variations in marine-layer depth and afternoon wind strength as the primary uncertainties that could nudge the exact high within the favored range. Historical August coastal highs average near 77°F, so the current setup reflects the tail end of a multi-day warm anomaly before broader cooling arrives over the weekend. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance that emphasize coastal moderation over inland extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,290End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high around 84–86°F at coastal Los Angeles stations such as LAX on August 28, 2026, amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** Strong high pressure aloft has driven extreme heat warnings and temperatures 15–20°F above average inland, yet persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are limiting warming near the coast. This dynamic keeps peak readings in the mid-80s range at representative stations, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F outcome (47.5% implied probability) and nearby 86–87°F bucket.
Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with slight variations in marine-layer depth and afternoon wind strength as the primary uncertainties that could nudge the exact high within the favored range. Historical August coastal highs average near 77°F, so the current setup reflects the tail end of a multi-day warm anomaly before broader cooling arrives over the weekend. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance that emphasize coastal moderation over inland extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,290End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high around 84–86°F at coastal Los Angeles stations such as LAX on August 28, 2026, amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** Strong high pressure aloft has driven extreme heat warnings and temperatures 15–20°F above average inland, yet persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are limiting warming near the coast. This dynamic keeps peak readings in the mid-80s range at representative stations, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F outcome (47.5% implied probability) and nearby 86–87°F bucket. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with slight variations in marine-layer depth and afternoon wind strength as the primary uncertainties that could nudge the exact high within the favored range. Historical August coastal highs average near 77°F, so the current setup reflects the tail end of a multi-day warm anomaly before broader cooling arrives over the weekend. Traders are weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance that emphasize coastal moderation over inland extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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