Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 30, with other models showing highs near 21–25°C amid variable afternoon thunderstorm timing. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects uncertainty in convective cloud cover, which limits surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. Drier intervals could allow stronger insolation and push readings to 25°C or higher, while earlier or heavier precipitation would cap the daily peak closer to 24°C. Recent ENSO-neutral conditions with emerging El Niño influences have produced slightly below-average rainfall, keeping temperature variance modest but sensitive to short-term steering patterns and moisture influx from the Pacific. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 42%
24°C 37%
23°C 12%
26°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C
42%
26°C or higher
12%
25°C 42%
24°C 37%
23°C 12%
26°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
4%
18°C
$15 Vol.
1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
4%
20°C
$47 Vol.
3%
21°C
$67 Vol.
5%
22°C
$12 Vol.
3%
23°C
$22 Vol.
12%
24°C
$26 Vol.
37%
25°C
$105 Vol.
42%
26°C or higher
$28 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 30, with other models showing highs near 21–25°C amid variable afternoon thunderstorm timing. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects uncertainty in convective cloud cover, which limits surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. Drier intervals could allow stronger insolation and push readings to 25°C or higher, while earlier or heavier precipitation would cap the daily peak closer to 24°C. Recent ENSO-neutral conditions with emerging El Niño influences have produced slightly below-average rainfall, keeping temperature variance modest but sensitive to short-term steering patterns and moisture influx from the Pacific. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$365End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 30, with other models showing highs near 21–25°C amid variable afternoon thunderstorm timing. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects uncertainty in convective cloud cover, which limits surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. Drier intervals could allow stronger insolation and push readings to 25°C or higher, while earlier or heavier precipitation would cap the daily peak closer to 24°C. Recent ENSO-neutral conditions with emerging El Niño influences have produced slightly below-average rainfall, keeping temperature variance modest but sensitive to short-term steering patterns and moisture influx from the Pacific. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$365End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 30, with other models showing highs near 21–25°C amid variable afternoon thunderstorm timing. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects uncertainty in convective cloud cover, which limits surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. Drier intervals could allow stronger insolation and push readings to 25°C or higher, while earlier or heavier precipitation would cap the daily peak closer to 24°C. Recent ENSO-neutral conditions with emerging El Niño influences have produced slightly below-average rainfall, keeping temperature variance modest but sensitive to short-term steering patterns and moisture influx from the Pacific. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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