Cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity during Mexico City's peak rainy season are suppressing daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local services indicate a peak around 22–24 °C amid widespread precipitation and northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 23–24 °C but are often lowered by convective activity. Recent model consensus shows minimal clearing, limiting solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding the upper-20s °C threshold. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes, as additional rain or persistent stratus would favor the lower end while any unexpected break in clouds could nudge readings toward 24 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
23°C 41%
22°C 27%
24°C 18%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
41%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 27%
24°C 18%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$8 Vol.
1%
20°C
$223 Vol.
3%
21°C
$446 Vol.
9%
22°C
$248 Vol.
27%
23°C
$836 Vol.
41%
24°C
$710 Vol.
18%
25°C
$933 Vol.
6%
26°C
$201 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity during Mexico City's peak rainy season are suppressing daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local services indicate a peak around 22–24 °C amid widespread precipitation and northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 23–24 °C but are often lowered by convective activity. Recent model consensus shows minimal clearing, limiting solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding the upper-20s °C threshold. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes, as additional rain or persistent stratus would favor the lower end while any unexpected break in clouds could nudge readings toward 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,162End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity during Mexico City's peak rainy season are suppressing daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local services indicate a peak around 22–24 °C amid widespread precipitation and northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 23–24 °C but are often lowered by convective activity. Recent model consensus shows minimal clearing, limiting solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding the upper-20s °C threshold. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes, as additional rain or persistent stratus would favor the lower end while any unexpected break in clouds could nudge readings toward 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,162End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity during Mexico City's peak rainy season are suppressing daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local services indicate a peak around 22–24 °C amid widespread precipitation and northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 23–24 °C but are often lowered by convective activity. Recent model consensus shows minimal clearing, limiting solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures from exceeding the upper-20s °C threshold. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes, as additional rain or persistent stratus would favor the lower end while any unexpected break in clouds could nudge readings toward 24 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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