Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to sunny, hot conditions with a daily maximum of 100-102°F in Dallas on August 30, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining the Southern Plains heat wave and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Light southerly winds and heat indices near 107°F support peak readings in this range, well above the 94°F climatological average. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, while modest probability on 102-103°F reflects minor upside potential from localized heating or model spread, and lower bins account for any late cooling or measurement variance at official stations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will refine the final outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
100-101°F 59%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
59%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 59%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
91°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$224 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$272 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$368 Vol.
18%
100-101°F
$1,161 Vol.
59%
102-103°F
$289 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$52 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to sunny, hot conditions with a daily maximum of 100-102°F in Dallas on August 30, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining the Southern Plains heat wave and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Light southerly winds and heat indices near 107°F support peak readings in this range, well above the 94°F climatological average. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, while modest probability on 102-103°F reflects minor upside potential from localized heating or model spread, and lower bins account for any late cooling or measurement variance at official stations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will refine the final outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,789End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to sunny, hot conditions with a daily maximum of 100-102°F in Dallas on August 30, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining the Southern Plains heat wave and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Light southerly winds and heat indices near 107°F support peak readings in this range, well above the 94°F climatological average. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, while modest probability on 102-103°F reflects minor upside potential from localized heating or model spread, and lower bins account for any late cooling or measurement variance at official stations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will refine the final outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,789End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to sunny, hot conditions with a daily maximum of 100-102°F in Dallas on August 30, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining the Southern Plains heat wave and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Light southerly winds and heat indices near 107°F support peak readings in this range, well above the 94°F climatological average. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, while modest probability on 102-103°F reflects minor upside potential from localized heating or model spread, and lower bins account for any late cooling or measurement variance at official stations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will refine the final outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions