Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 29 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 102°F under light southeast winds and persistent high pressure, consistent with surrounding days showing 100–102°F readings and minimal cloud cover or moisture. This consensus from NWS point forecasts and supporting model guidance centers trader-implied probabilities on the 100–101°F (53%) and 102–103°F (27.5%) bins, reflecting typical late-summer heat in North Texas with low day-to-day variability. Stable atmospheric conditions and absence of incoming fronts limit upside or downside surprises, keeping extreme outliers below 3% probability. Updated model runs or any last-minute shifts in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 30%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 30%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
95°F or below
$32 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$278 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$245 Vol.
11%
100-101°F
$1,718 Vol.
53%
102-103°F
$553 Vol.
30%
104-105°F
$18 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$119 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$88 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$36 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$277 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 29 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 102°F under light southeast winds and persistent high pressure, consistent with surrounding days showing 100–102°F readings and minimal cloud cover or moisture. This consensus from NWS point forecasts and supporting model guidance centers trader-implied probabilities on the 100–101°F (53%) and 102–103°F (27.5%) bins, reflecting typical late-summer heat in North Texas with low day-to-day variability. Stable atmospheric conditions and absence of incoming fronts limit upside or downside surprises, keeping extreme outliers below 3% probability. Updated model runs or any last-minute shifts in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,598End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 29 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 102°F under light southeast winds and persistent high pressure, consistent with surrounding days showing 100–102°F readings and minimal cloud cover or moisture. This consensus from NWS point forecasts and supporting model guidance centers trader-implied probabilities on the 100–101°F (53%) and 102–103°F (27.5%) bins, reflecting typical late-summer heat in North Texas with low day-to-day variability. Stable atmospheric conditions and absence of incoming fronts limit upside or downside surprises, keeping extreme outliers below 3% probability. Updated model runs or any last-minute shifts in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,598End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 29 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 102°F under light southeast winds and persistent high pressure, consistent with surrounding days showing 100–102°F readings and minimal cloud cover or moisture. This consensus from NWS point forecasts and supporting model guidance centers trader-implied probabilities on the 100–101°F (53%) and 102–103°F (27.5%) bins, reflecting typical late-summer heat in North Texas with low day-to-day variability. Stable atmospheric conditions and absence of incoming fronts limit upside or downside surprises, keeping extreme outliers below 3% probability. Updated model runs or any last-minute shifts in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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