Traders see near-even odds across 76–83°F ranges for Dallas’s August 28 low because forecast models show modest overnight cooling under persistently high dew points near 70°F and light winds, limiting radiative heat loss. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service highlight subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by a degree or two, while the urban heat island around DFW airport adds further variability. Historical late-August climatology supports lows in this narrow band, but any earlier arrival of drier air or increased mixing tonight would favor the upper end of the range, keeping the market tightly contested until final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 28?
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$129 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$19 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$6 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$18 Vol.
7%
88°F or higher
$13 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds across 76–83°F ranges for Dallas’s August 28 low because forecast models show modest overnight cooling under persistently high dew points near 70°F and light winds, limiting radiative heat loss. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service highlight subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by a degree or two, while the urban heat island around DFW airport adds further variability. Historical late-August climatology supports lows in this narrow band, but any earlier arrival of drier air or increased mixing tonight would favor the upper end of the range, keeping the market tightly contested until final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$195End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds across 76–83°F ranges for Dallas’s August 28 low because forecast models show modest overnight cooling under persistently high dew points near 70°F and light winds, limiting radiative heat loss. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service highlight subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by a degree or two, while the urban heat island around DFW airport adds further variability. Historical late-August climatology supports lows in this narrow band, but any earlier arrival of drier air or increased mixing tonight would favor the upper end of the range, keeping the market tightly contested until final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$195End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds across 76–83°F ranges for Dallas’s August 28 low because forecast models show modest overnight cooling under persistently high dew points near 70°F and light winds, limiting radiative heat loss. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service highlight subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by a degree or two, while the urban heat island around DFW airport adds further variability. Historical late-August climatology supports lows in this narrow band, but any earlier arrival of drier air or increased mixing tonight would favor the upper end of the range, keeping the market tightly contested until final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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