Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds moderating conditions after earlier warmth. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and reduced subtropical high influence that typically sustains late-August peaks near 31–33°C in the region. Updated runs show limited intensification potential and only light precipitation risk, narrowing the distribution around the 29–31°C cluster while historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context for the implied probabilities. New model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
30°C 41%
31°C 30%
29°C 23%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
41%
31°C
30%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 30%
29°C 23%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$80 Vol.
1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
2%
27°C
$50 Vol.
2%
28°C
$11 Vol.
7%
29°C
$197 Vol.
23%
30°C
$256 Vol.
41%
31°C
$409 Vol.
30%
32°C
$96 Vol.
6%
33°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds moderating conditions after earlier warmth. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and reduced subtropical high influence that typically sustains late-August peaks near 31–33°C in the region. Updated runs show limited intensification potential and only light precipitation risk, narrowing the distribution around the 29–31°C cluster while historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context for the implied probabilities. New model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,557End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds moderating conditions after earlier warmth. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and reduced subtropical high influence that typically sustains late-August peaks near 31–33°C in the region. Updated runs show limited intensification potential and only light precipitation risk, narrowing the distribution around the 29–31°C cluster while historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context for the implied probabilities. New model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,557End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds moderating conditions after earlier warmth. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of steering patterns and reduced subtropical high influence that typically sustains late-August peaks near 31–33°C in the region. Updated runs show limited intensification potential and only light precipitation risk, narrowing the distribution around the 29–31°C cluster while historical August averages near 28–29°C provide context for the implied probabilities. New model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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