Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao points to partly cloudy conditions and moderating northerly winds on August 31, supporting overnight lows near 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, consistent with the late-August maritime climate where coastal influence and typical diurnal ranges keep minima close to the 22–24°C historical average. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below likely reflects model spread around potential radiative cooling under clearer skies or slight timing shifts in frontal passage, while probabilities clustered near 19–22°C capture the bulk of ensemble outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine the exact minimum, with final model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
18°C or below 87%
23°C 49%
24°C 43%
22°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
87%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
43%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
18°C or below 87%
23°C 49%
24°C 43%
22°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
87%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$130 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao points to partly cloudy conditions and moderating northerly winds on August 31, supporting overnight lows near 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, consistent with the late-August maritime climate where coastal influence and typical diurnal ranges keep minima close to the 22–24°C historical average. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below likely reflects model spread around potential radiative cooling under clearer skies or slight timing shifts in frontal passage, while probabilities clustered near 19–22°C capture the bulk of ensemble outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine the exact minimum, with final model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$130End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao points to partly cloudy conditions and moderating northerly winds on August 31, supporting overnight lows near 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, consistent with the late-August maritime climate where coastal influence and typical diurnal ranges keep minima close to the 22–24°C historical average. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below likely reflects model spread around potential radiative cooling under clearer skies or slight timing shifts in frontal passage, while probabilities clustered near 19–22°C capture the bulk of ensemble outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine the exact minimum, with final model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao points to partly cloudy conditions and moderating northerly winds on August 31, supporting overnight lows near 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, consistent with the late-August maritime climate where coastal influence and typical diurnal ranges keep minima close to the 22–24°C historical average. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below likely reflects model spread around potential radiative cooling under clearer skies or slight timing shifts in frontal passage, while probabilities clustered near 19–22°C capture the bulk of ensemble outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine the exact minimum, with final model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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