Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao’s overnight low on August 30 centering near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow could hold the minimum near 23 °C; clearer intervals or slightly drier air would favor a dip toward 21–22 °C. The market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects model consensus on stable late-summer conditions without major synoptic forcing, with traders assigning meaningful weight to the possibility of cooler readings only if nocturnal decoupling strengthens more than expected. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
22°C 40%
19°C or below 32%
23°C 27%
20°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
32%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
11%
27°C
12%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
15%
22°C 40%
19°C or below 32%
23°C 27%
20°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$20 Vol.
11%
27°C
$5 Vol.
12%
28°C
$5 Vol.
13%
29°C or higher
$145 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao’s overnight low on August 30 centering near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow could hold the minimum near 23 °C; clearer intervals or slightly drier air would favor a dip toward 21–22 °C. The market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects model consensus on stable late-summer conditions without major synoptic forcing, with traders assigning meaningful weight to the possibility of cooler readings only if nocturnal decoupling strengthens more than expected. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao’s overnight low on August 30 centering near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow could hold the minimum near 23 °C; clearer intervals or slightly drier air would favor a dip toward 21–22 °C. The market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects model consensus on stable late-summer conditions without major synoptic forcing, with traders assigning meaningful weight to the possibility of cooler readings only if nocturnal decoupling strengthens more than expected. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao’s overnight low on August 30 centering near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow could hold the minimum near 23 °C; clearer intervals or slightly drier air would favor a dip toward 21–22 °C. The market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects model consensus on stable late-summer conditions without major synoptic forcing, with traders assigning meaningful weight to the possibility of cooler readings only if nocturnal decoupling strengthens more than expected. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions